SignalMacro

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility $47.69 ↑ 1.1% 21th %ile (complacency) • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 21th in 90d range | Regime: complacency

Why it matters

Crude volatility at 23rd percentile signals complacency, while KXWTI 8.5% implies $117+ settlement odds.

Sources

futures